Bitcoin Makes Sharp Recovery, But Watch Out For Resistance At $64,000

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Bitcoin

On-chain data shows that the Bitcoin short-term holder whales have a cost base above $64,000, which could be a potential resistance point for BTC.

Bitcoin Is Not Far From Realized Price Of Short-Term Holder Whales After Rally

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the BTC price had slipped below the Realized Price of the short-term holder whales earlier. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the average cost basis that the investors of a particular group currently share.

When the asset’s spot price is under this metric, the holders belonging to the cohort are in a state of net unrealized loss. Similarly, it being above the indicator implies the group is enjoying profits.

In the context of the current topic, there are two market segments of interest: the short-term holder and long-term holder whales. The short-term and long-term holders are the two main divisions of the Bitcoin sector based on holding time.

The short-term holders (STHs) are the investors who bought their coins within the past 155 days, while the long-term holders (LTHs) include the hands who have kept their coins dormant for longer than this period.

The “whales” generally refer to the entities that carry at least 1,000 BTC in their wallets, so the STH and LTH whales would naturally correspond to the large members of the respective cohorts.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Realized Price for these two Bitcoin groups over the past few years:

Bitcoin Realized Price
Looks like the price of the asset is currently between the two lines | Source: CryptoQuant

As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin spot price had slipped considerably below the Realized Price of the STH whales during the recent market downturn. However, with the price observing recovery, it has now neared back to that level.

The average cost basis of the STH whales is between $64,000 and $65,000, so a retest of it could be coming soon. However, Such a retest could prove difficult for the cryptocurrency.

The STHs represent the weak hands of the market, which can be sensitive to changes in the market. The cost basis is naturally an important level for any investor, but this cohort especially can be likely to react when such a retest happens.

Since most STH whales have been at a loss recently, some may be desperately looking forward to a retest taking place so they can exit from the market at their break-even level. It remains to be seen whether Bitcoin will overcome this obstacle if the current recovery rally continues that far.

While the STH whales suffer losses, the LTH whales continue to be in high profits as their Realized Price is at just $22,000, implying that their patience has paid off.

BTC Price

Bitcoin had briefly broken above $62,000 during the past day, but the coin’s price has since seen a retrace to $60,500.

Bitcoin Price Chart
The price of the coin seems to have been going up over the past few days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

Keshav Verma

Keshav Verma

Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.

Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.

In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.

Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.

Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..

Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.

Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.

As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.

Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.

Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.

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